"12th Five-Year" annual output growth of non-ferrous metals or significantly controlled

Recently, there are rumors that during the “12th Five-Year Plan” period, China will focus on supporting the development of strategic small metals such as tungsten, molybdenum, tin, antimony, and rare earths. In addition, the annual output of ten non-ferrous metals such as copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, nickel and tin will be controlled at a level of 40 million tons.

According to industry sources, the “12th Five-Year Plan” for non-ferrous metals has been basically finalized. After the signing of the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will officially release it in the near future. The "12th Five-Year Plan" for non-ferrous metals puts forward a total control target for China's non-ferrous metal production. That is, the maximum annual production of ten non-ferrous metals such as copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, nickel, and tin will be controlled. At 40 million tons.

Statistics show that in 2010 China's output of ten non-ferrous metals was 31.35 million tons, an increase of about 17% year-on-year. Among them, 4.57 million tons of refined copper, an increase of 11.3%; aluminum 16.19 million tons, an increase of 26.1%; lead 4.2 million tons, an increase of 13.3%; zinc 5.16 million tons, an increase of 18.5%.

In 2011, China's non-ferrous metal production slowed down compared with 2010. Among them, the signs of a slowdown in production growth of primary aluminum and zinc are most evident. According to the latest data released, in the first 10 months of this year, the output of 10 kinds of non-ferrous metals nationwide was 28.76 million tons, an increase of 10.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate slowed down by 10.8 percentage points year-on-year. Among them, refined copper production was 4.58 million tons, an increase of 16.2%, raw aluminum production was 14.68 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, a slowdown of 18.1 percentage points; lead production was 3.92 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.5%; zinc production was 4.34 million tons, a year-on-year It increased by 3.5% and slowed down by 19.7%. The output of alumina increased by 16.2% and slowed down by 11.9%.

In fact, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, non-ferrous metal production will be controlled, and the slowdown in growth is expected by those in the industry. As early as this April, Kang Yi, former president of the China Nonferrous Metals Society, once stated that during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, China will effectively control the excessive growth of smelting capacity, especially in areas where resources are scarce and environmental capacity is not guaranteed. Strictly control the new smelting project, and strive to control the average annual growth rate of ten kinds of non-ferrous metals to be controlled at around 8%.

In addition, the draft "12th Five-Year Plan" of the non-ferrous metal industry also clearly stated that during the next five years, the non-ferrous metals industry will vigorously develop a recycling economy based on domestic and foreign energy, resources, and environmental conditions, strictly control the expansion of smelting production capacity, and eliminate backward production capacity. Wait.

In fact, since the beginning of this year, China has made many efforts to control smelting capacity and eliminate backward production capacity. In April this year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Ministry of Industry and Commerce jointly halted the construction of an electrolytic aluminum project, involving a total capacity of nearly 3 million tons. In July, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced 116 list of outdated production capacities of non-ferrous metals, eliminating production capacity of 2.03 million tons, including 619,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, 425,000 tons of copper smelting, 616,000 tons of lead smelting, and 338,000 tons of zinc smelting.

However, according to analysts, at the end of last year, China’s aluminum smelting capacity reached 23 million tons, actual production reached 15.6 million tons, and 7.4 million tons of aluminum smelting capacity was idled, occupying one-third of the total production capacity; during the same period, Nearly 1.17 million tons of zinc production capacity was idle, and this year's domestic zinc smelting capacity also showed an expansion trend.

Therefore, for the huge idle production capacity of domestic non-ferrous metals, the eliminated backward production capacity and limited new production capacity will still be a drop in the bucket. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the task of limiting new production capacity and eliminating backward production capacity in China's non-ferrous metals industry remains an arduous task.

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